01

Navigate

Navigate energy system futures, transformation phases and road-mapping through:

  • Exploring the diversity of plausible futures and their practical implications
  • Analysing the three major horizons of systems change to evaluate key priorities and timing
  • Designing future-resilient and adaptive transformation pathways and roadmaps

Navigating a once-in-a-century scale of change

Global energy systems are experiencing a once-in-a-century scale of change. A sector that has traditionally valued stability and predictability is now experiencing what Oxford University refers to as a ‘TUNA’ context (Turbulent, Uncertain, Novel and Ambiguous).

The Energy Catalyst team has a track record spanning more than a decade of leading the application of Strategic Foresight disciplines to Australia’s changing energy sector. As the future is less contested than the present, this has been proven to empower more creative and future-ready solution development involving both technical and non-technical stakeholders.

Less conflict; more future-ready solutions

Our unique, industry-specific application of foresighting tools enhances multi-stakeholder collaboration and reduces unnecessary conflict.

It includes the co-development of alternative scenarios to enable constructive debate and quantitative stress-testing. The subsequent development of transformation pathways and transition roadmaps, guided by the respected Three Horizons framework of how complex systems actually transform, enables the most practical ‘least-regrets’ options to be shortlisted and collectively agreed.

Together, these powerful tools enable diverse stakeholders to have an entirely different quality of engagement with the future of our energy systems. In addition, the insights gained are more holistic and actionable as the necessary actions sequenced across multiple ‘swim lanes’ of change (e.g. customer, technology, market, regulatory and business models).

In summary, our approach enhances constructive multi-stakeholder engagement and options analysis to underpin more scalable, future-resilient investment decisions.

“The future is already here – it’s just not evenly distributed” 

– William Gibson, Sci-Fi writer

02

Validate

Validate structural options for reliable, efficient and scalable transformation

03

Accelerate

Accelerate system transformation and enhance social licence for change